Cancer incidence predicted to increase 75% by 2030
The global cancer burden is set to surge more than 75% by 2030, according to new research published in the Lancet Oncology.
The rise is predicted to be even larger in the developing world, with the poorest countries experiencing a projected increase of more than 90%.
The study, led by Dr Freddie Bray of the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) in Lyon, France, is the first to examine how the current and future patterns of incidence and mortality of different types of cancer vary between countries with different levels of development, as measured by their Human Development Index (HDI).
Although incidence rates and the burden of some types of cancer (such as cervical cancer and stomach cancer) appear to be mainly declining in countries transitioning socially and economically towards higher levels of human development, the reduction is likely to be offset by a substantial increase in the types of cancer more associated with a so-called “Westernised” lifestyle, including breast, prostate, and colorectal cancer.
Read the whole article at ecancer.org
Reference
- Bray, F., Jemal, A. et al. (2012). Global cancer transitions according to the Human Development Index (2008–2030): a population-based study The Lancet Oncology DOI: 10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70211-5
Keywords: cancer incidence, cancer mortality, Human Development Index (HDI)
1. 6. 2012 ecancer.org
